In the not-so-distant past, running backs reigned as the most valuable position in the NFL. They were the stars, the game-changers, and the heroes of many franchises. However, a shift in the league's dynamics and an analysis of past deals and performances have led to running backs becoming less coveted and more expendable in today's passing-oriented NFL.
The Decline of Running Back Value:
The Herschel Walker trade in 1989, where the Cowboys received a hefty package for the running back, highlights the position's once-astronomical worth. Fast forward to 2022, and Christian McCaffrey was traded for significantly less, showcasing the decline in running back value over the years.
Reasons Behind the Devaluation:
1. Evolution of the Passing Game: The NFL has transitioned into a passing league, and positions such as quarterback, wide receiver, offensive tackle, edge rusher, and cornerback have become more crucial for success. Running backs' roles have diminished as teams prioritize passing over rushing.
2. Shorter Shelf Life: Running backs typically have a shorter career span compared to other positions due to the physical toll they endure. As a result, teams are hesitant to invest in long-term, high-paying contracts for a position that might see diminishing returns over time.
3. Mixed Results and Playoff Success: Paying top dollar for running backs hasn't consistently translated to on-field success. Looking at the numbers, teams with high-paid running backs have had average records and playoff success, suggesting that investing heavily in the position may not be the most effective strategy.
4. Flopped Veteran Contracts: Several veteran running backs have received lucrative deals but failed to deliver on their promises. Players like Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, and Le'Veon Bell are examples of running back contracts that haven't panned out as expected, further contributing to the devaluation.
Possible Solutions:
To regain value and relevance, running backs need to adapt to the modern NFL. Some potential solutions include:
1. Improved Performance on Second Contracts: Running backs need to deliver on the expectations of their second contracts to prove their worth in today's game.
2. Increased Value in the Passing Game: Running backs who can contribute as receiving threats provide added value to their teams. Players like Christian McCaffrey have demonstrated how a diverse skill set can make them more indispensable.
Conclusion:
The running back position has experienced a significant shift in value over the years. The NFL's emphasis on the passing game and the running back's shorter career span have contributed to their decreased worth. To regain their prominence, running backs must adapt and demonstrate their value beyond traditional rushing statistics. Otherwise, they may continue to face challenges in securing long-term, high-paying deals in today's evolving NFL landscape.